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23.11.2023 10:35 AM
Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for November 23, 2023

Crypto Industry News:

Dan Morehead, a cryptocurrency market veteran, draws attention to the current phase of Bitcoin's growth in his latest open letter to investors. The head of Pantera Capital, which manages assets worth $4.2 billion, emphasizes the almost "cosmic" similarity of BTC market cycles. According to him, these are the result of transparent and predictable rules set by the mysterious creator of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto.

Morehead notes that Bitcoin's halving rules, which cut miners' rewards in half every four years or so, have introduced a distinct cyclicality to the market. Analyzing these cycles, he predicts that the current Bitcoin market bull market will last until around November 1, 2025. This shows how rigorous these patterns are - market rises and falls fit within strict time frames, respectively 1076 days for a bull market and 382 days for a bear market.

Morehead highlights the unique symmetry of Bitcoin's four-year blocks. This regularity, according to him, is proof that Bitcoin is not just another cryptocurrency, but a phenomenon with unique market properties.

In his statements, Morehead often emphasizes the growing value of blockchain technology as an asset class. In his opinion, most financial institutions still underestimate the potential of this technology. He points out that blockchain is not only about cryptocurrencies, but also has wide-ranging applications in various sectors of the economy, which may bring significant financial benefits in the future.

Technical Market Outlook:

The BTC/USD pair has bounced from the technical support located at the level of $35,640 and is close to the swing high again (4th time). Any violation of this level would extend the rally towards the next target seen at $40,000. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of $35,640 and the intraday technical resistance is located at $37,770 and $38,028. The strong and positive momentum on the H4 time frame chart support the short-term bullish outlook for BTC.

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Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - $41,363

WR2 - $39,678

WR1 - $38,135

Weekly Pivot - $36,446

WS1 - $34,906

WS2 - $33,218

WS3 - $31,678

Trading Outlook:

The bulls have successfully breached the pivotal level of $25,442, marking a significant shift in the mid-term outlook for BTC towards a bullish trajectory. The next objective for the bulls is set at $40,000. The potential for a sustained long-term uptrend remains, provided the critical level of $19,572 is not decisively violated.

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