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09.02.202406:54 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Global challenges: rising oil prices in response to the Gaza crisis and data from the United States

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Exchange Rates 09.02.2024 analysis

On Thursday, oil prices surged more than 3% due to concerns about the potential expansion of conflict in the Middle East after Israel rejected a ceasefire offer from HAMAS.

The price of Brent crude oil increased by $2.42 to $81.36 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude rose by $2.36 to $76.22 per barrel. As a result, the cost of Brent surpassed the $80 mark, and WTI exceeded $75 per barrel for the first time in February.

The escalation of the situation affects the rise in oil prices, with Brent and WTI prices expected to increase by more than 5% over the week.

"We are watching further developments, assessing potential consequences," said John Kilduff from Again Capital LLC, highlighting the impact of attacks by Houthi rebels supported by Iran on global oil trade.

For peace agreement discussions, HAMAS representatives arrived in Cairo, where they met with Egyptian and Qatari mediators.

A stronger-than-expected decrease in US gasoline and distillate inventories also supported oil prices.

Aker BP reported that production at the Johan Sverdrup field, the largest in the North Sea, would be maintained at 755,000 barrels per day until the end of the year, exceeding the initially planned 660,000 barrels per day.

According to UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, the demand for oil remains high among the largest consumers, including India and the US.

The US Department of Labor reported a decrease in unemployment claims, indicating the labor market's underlying strength.

IG analyst Tony Sycamore expressed that deflation risks in China, the world's largest crude oil importer, are pressuring global oil prices.

"The decline in oil prices in Asia is largely related to recent challenges in the Chinese stock markets and the unexpected consumer price index figure, undermining confidence ahead of the Lunar New Year," he added.

Thomas Frank
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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